The global e-fuel market size is expected to reach USD 13,633.9 billion by 2050, according to a new report by Grand View Research, Inc., expanding at a CAGR of 19.0% over the forecast period 2023-2050. This market growth is owing to increasing demand for e-fuels such as e-kerosene, e-diesel, ethanol, e-methane, and others from various end-use industries such as aviation, automobiles, and others.
Sustainable aviation fuels (SAF) act as an excellent alternatives to fossil jet fuels. SAFs are derived from sources such as biomass or power-to-liquid (PtL) methods, the latter of which produces e-kerosene. The American Society for Testing and Materials (ASTM) has sanctioned seven SAF routes, including liquid FT fuels, allowing for blending of up to 50% with traditional kerosene (ASTM International, 2022a). The use of conventional turbines and the compatibility of onboard fuel and storage systems with e-kerosene can enhance its viability.
Furthermore, the demand for e-diesel is gaining significant momentum attributed to its capacity to cater to the energy requirements of both transportation and industrial sectors. E-diesel, a form of synthetic fuel derived from renewable sources, presents a versatile option that harmonizes with sustainability objectives. Additionally, the increasing emphasis on reducing carbon emissions within the transportation domain further propels the demand for e-diesel as a sustainable and eco-friendly alternative.
The industry players are adopting several strategies, including partnerships, expansions, mergers & acquisitions, joint ventures, new product launches, and partnership agreements to increase the customer base and individual market share. For instance, in May 2023, HIG Global announced an expansion in its global footprint by launching a new facility producing e-fuel in the Texas market
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The market for e-fuel is driven by several favorable government policies and initiatives taking place across the globe. For instance, In July 2021, the European Commission’s proposal named ReFuel EU Aviation introduced an e-kerosene blending mandate of 28% by 2050 for SAFs. This has resulted in e-kerosene accounting for approx. 3.65% of the EU’s jet fuel requirements
The e-kerosene segment is anticipated to grow at the fastest CAGR over the forecast period. This is attributed to its formulation to resemble traditional kerosene, ensuring compatibility with current aircraft engines and infrastructure. This enables airplanes to use e-kerosene seamlessly, avoiding the need for extensive alterations or adjustments
The power-to-liquid production method is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.7% during the forecast period owing to several R&D taking place for producing e-fuels through this production method. For instance, In March 2023, Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt e. V. (DLR), a German R&D center for aerospace, announced its plans to launch a new R&D facility for power-to-fuel liquid e-fuel for the aircraft industry
The automotive industry is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% during the forecast period owing to the application of e-fuels in automobiles contributing to environmental sustainability by reducing greenhouse gas emissions compared to traditional fuels
Europe held the largest market share in the market for e-fuels in terms of revenue in 2022 owing to several favorable government initiatives, such as the member states of the EU having increased their renewable energy targets to 40% of primary energy by 2050
Several key companies are collaborating to strengthen their market positions. For instance, in March 2023, Osaka Gas Co., Ltd.collaborated with Santos Ltd to produce e-methane derived from green hydrogen in the Australian market
Grand View Research has segmented the global e-fuel market report based on product, state, production method, technology, end-use, carbon source, carbon capture type, and region:
E-fuel Product Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2018 - 2050)
E-Diesel
E-Gasoline
Ethanol
Hydrogen
E-Kerosene
E-Methane
E-Methanol
Others
E-fuel State Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2018 - 2050)
Liquid
Gas
E-fuel Production Method Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2018 - 2050)
Power-to-Liquid
Power-to-Gas
Gas-to-Liquid
Biologically derived fuels
E-fuel Technology Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2018 - 2050)
Hydrogen technology (Electrolysis)
Fischer-Tropsch
Reverse-Water-Gas-Shift (RWGS)
E-fuel End-Use Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2018 - 2050)
Automotive
Marine
Industrial
Railway
Aviation
Others
E-fuel Carbon Source Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2018 - 2050)
Point Source
Smokestack
Gas Well
Direct Air Capture
E-fuel Carbon Capture Type Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2018 - 2050)
Post-combustion
Pre-combustion
E-fuel Regional Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2018 - 2050)
North America
U.S.
Canada
Mexico
Europe
Netherlands
U.K.
Germany
France
Italy
Spain
Russia
Asia Pacific
China
Indonesia
Thailand
India
Japan
South Korea
Australia
Central & South America
Brazil
Argentina
Middle East & Africa
Saudi Arabia
UAE
South Africa
List Of Key Players in The E-fuel Market
Archer Daniels Midland Co.
Ballard Power Systems, Inc.
Ceres Power Holding Plc
Clean Fuels Alliance America
Climeworks AG
E-Fuel Corporation
eFuel Pacific Limited
Hexagon Agility
Neste
Norsk e-Fuel AS
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