The global sweetened condensed milk market size is expected to reach USD 11.43 billion by 2030, registering a CAGR of 4.1% from 2025 to 2030, according to a new report by Grand View Research, Inc. Long shelf life of the product, along with innovating packaging techniques, is expected to positively influence the market growth in the next few years.
Unflavored sweetened condensed milk dominated the global market in 2018. The product consumption has increased as a substitute for milk in countries like Thailand, Vietnam, and Indonesia. These countries use the product as a base for many traditional sweet dishes and beverages like teh terik. However, flavored variants such as caramel and chocolate are expected to witness substantial growth during the forecast period owing to popularity of these flavors among kids.
Can packaging type accounted for the maximum share in 2018, followed by bottles. High visibility of aluminum cans owing to its high recycling ability and low food spoilage rate is a main factor driving the market for can over the forecast period. However, consumer preference has shifted from cans to tubes owing to their convenient use and storage and introduction of milk tubes. These factors are expected to contribute to the overall growth of the market during the projected period.
Europe occupied the largest market share in 2018 owing to increase in production and consumption of sweetened condensed milk as a major beverage ingredient. Countries such as Germany, Poland, and U.K. contributed to the regional market growth. Consumption of this product is expected to reduce significantly due to its high calorie content and increasing awareness related to obesity.
However, the industry has high growth potential in Asia Pacific due to increasing consumption of the product in Vietnam and Malaysia. For instance, Vinamilk, one of the major players, is focusing on improving its brand penetration in Southeast Asia owing to huge demand for dairy products in these countries. This is expected to drive the overall market in the coming years.
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The unflavored product segment dominated the global sweetened condensed milk industry with a revenue share of 73.0% in 2024.
Eagle brand, one of the most popular brands of sweet condensed milk, launched caramel and chocolate flavored, along with a series of recipes. The flavors were launched during the holiday season in 2015 to improve product consumption and increase product sales
Fraser & Neave Holdings Bhd (F&NHB) launched Milk Stix and Squeeze Tube, Malaysia’s first full cream sweetened condensed milk in such packaging to increase product sales.
Grand View Research has segmented the global sweetened condensed milk market based on product, packaging, and region:
Sweetened Condensed Milk Product Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2018 - 2030)
Unflavored
Flavored
Sweetened Condensed Milk Packaging Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2018 - 2030)
Cans
Bottles
Tubes
Other
Sweetened Condensed Milk Regional Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2018 - 2030)
North America
U.S.
Canada
Mexico
Europe
Germany
Poland
U.K.
Italy
France
Asia Pacific
Japan
China
India
Australia
South Korea
Latin America
Chile
Brazil
Middle East
List Of Key Players Sweetened Condensed Milk Market
Eagle Family Foods Group LLC
Nestlé
Fraser & Neave Holdings Bhd
Amul (GCMMF)
Vinamilk
Dutch Lady Milk Industries Bhd
Belgorod Dairy Products OJSC
Goya Foods, Inc.
Magnolia
DANA DAIRY GROUP
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