The global automotive transmission market size is expected to reach USD 234.87 billion by 2030, registering a CAGR of 5.6% from 2025 to 2030, according to a new report by Grand View Research, Inc. The Covid-19 pandemic has adversely affected the automobile industry, leading to a decline in the growth of this market. Increasing concerns regarding global warming and pollution have led to various stringent government regulations pertaining to vehicular emissions. Such regulatory guidelines have propelled component suppliers to manufacture eco-friendly and high-efficiency transmission systems for domestic and international markets.
Thus, increasing emission standards worldwide are one of the key factors driving the growth of the market. Emission performance standards set a limit on the amount of various gases permissible for emission. While the main goal of these standards is to direct the limit for pollutants, such as nitrogen and sulfur oxides, they also help regulate the proportion of greenhouse gasses, particularly carbon dioxide, in exhaust emissions. In the U.S., emissions standards are managed by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), whereas the state of California has special vehicle emissions norms. Other states in the U.S. follow either the EPA or the California standards.
In the wake of the pandemic, lockdowns and social distancing norms have been implemented globally, which have resulted in losses for industries, such as manufacturing, automobile, entertainment, restaurant, and hospitality. The overall automobile production volumes have declined globally on a year-on-year basis, mainly due to a decrease in production volumes in North America and Europe, among other regions. According to the Organisation Internationale des Constructeurs d'Automobiles (OICA), the global automobile production dropped by more than 15% i.e., 77.6 million units in 2020 as compared to 91.7 million units in 2019.
However, as governments begin to gradually relax the lockdown norms and allow businesses to operate with mandates of social distancing, the market can expect a period of respite for the short-term due to the growing demand for cars. Asia Pacific captured the largest revenue share of more than 31% in 2020 and is also estimated to register the fastest CAGR from 2021 to 2028. The demand for automotive transmission in the region is largely fulfilled by China, India, and Japan. Moreover, the “Make in India” campaign is expected to draw investments in the automobile sector, thus driving the growth of the market in India.
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The automatic segment of the automotive transmission industry dominated the market in 2024, with a revenue share of 53.8%.
The gasoline segment dominated the market, with a revenue share of 60.29%. This growth can be attributed to the increasing adoption of gasoline-powered vehicles, which remain popular due to their affordability and widespread availability.
The passenger cars segment held the largest market share in 2024 within the automotive transmission industry. This growth is driven by the ongoing advancements in automotive technology, particularly in transmission systems that enhance vehicle performance and comfort.
The Asia Pacific automotive transmission market held the largest revenue share of 33.1% in 2024.
Grand View Research has segmented the global automotive transmission market on the basis of transmission, fuel, vehicle, and region:
Automotive Transmission Transmission Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2018 - 2030)
Manual
Automatic
Automotive Transmission Fuel Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2018 - 2030)
Gasoline
Diesel
Others
Automotive Transmission Vehicle Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2018 - 2030)
Passenger Cars
LCVs
HCVs
Automotive Transmission Regional Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2018 - 2030)
North America
U.S.
Canada
Mexico
Europe
Germany
UK
France
Asia Pacific
China
Japan
India
Australia
South Korea
Latin America
Brazil
Middle East and Africa (MEA)
UAE
KSA
South Africa
List of Key Players in Automotive Transmission Market
AISIN CORPORATION
Allison Transmission, Inc.
BorgWarner Inc.
Continental AG
Eaton
Magna International Inc.
GKN Automotive Limited (Dowlais Group plc)
JATCO Ltd
Schaeffler AG
ZF Friedrichshafen AG
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