The 4PL category is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 6.9% from 2023 to 2030. North America accounts for the largest share. Factors such as the increasing growth in online shopping and the e-commerce sector, the rising need for efficient warehouse management systems, automated order fulfillment, inventory and returns management systems, and enhanced post-purchase and payment systems are driving the growth of this category. One of the key trends is the increasing use of robotic picking arms and vision systems in large warehouses to reduce errors and boost productivity.
For example, many 4PL companies are using robots to pick and pack orders, while Automated Guided Vehicles (AGVs) are being used to move goods around warehouses and large distribution centers. Collaborative robots (cobots) are used for lifting heavy-duty operations and repetitive tasks. Many cobots are also equipped with IoT sensors that can monitor the health, blood pressure, and temperature of warehouse workers. In the technology space, cyber 4PL is the latest emerging trend. Cyber 4PLs are specialist logistics providers that offer multiple systems integration, adaptive digital platforms, and advanced analytics in addition to supply chain consultancy solutions. Their intellectual property is the mix of assets with software algorithms that they can deploy across the supply chain to effectively generate critical insights.
Companies generally adopt a cost-plus or a gain-share model pricing while engaging with 4PL service providers. The cost-plus model is a pricing strategy where the 4PL service provider charges the client for the actual costs incurred in managing the logistics operations, along with an additional markup or fee. On the other hand, the gain-sharing model is a collaborative pricing approach where the 4PL and the client share the benefits or savings achieved through improved supply chain performance or cost reductions. The choice between the models depends on specific requirements and preferences.
In the European region, in 2022, road transportation prices have increased by 10 - 15% due to soaring fuel costs, high inflation, the global supply chain crisis, and a tight supply of goods. Since 2021, fuel prices have increased significantly in Germany, Italy, the U.K., and France which have in turn impacted transportation and 4PL service costs. For instance, in Germany, diesel prices in Q3 2021 increased by 38% compared to 2020. Similarly, during the same period, diesel prices in France, Italy, and the U.K. increased by 23.5%, 20.6%, and 26.6% respectively. Road transport prices are also getting impacted by truck shortages and labor shortages amid very high demand for trucking services. For instance, in Spain, there is a shortage of 10,000 and 15,000 professional drivers in Spain. In France, there is a shortage of between 40,000 - 50,000 drivers and Germany lacks 65,000 drivers.
Report Attribute |
Details |
4PL Category Growth Rate (CAGR) |
CAGR of 6.9%, from 2023 to 2030 |
Base Year for Estimation |
2022 |
Pricing growth Outlook |
6 - 10% |
Pricing Models |
Cost plus pricing model, gain share pricing model |
Supplier Selection Scope |
Cost and pricing, Past engagements, Productivity, Geographical presence |
Supplier selection criteria |
Service offerings (end-to-end services, warehousing, transportation, shipping, distribution, packaging), technical specifications, operational capabilities, regulatory standards and mandates, category innovations, and others. |
Report Coverage |
Revenue forecast, supplier ranking, supplier positioning matrix, emerging technology, pricing models, cost structure, competitive landscape, growth factors, trends, engagement, and operating model |
Key companies profiled |
XPO Logistics, DHL Supply Chain, UPS Supply Chain Solutions, DB Schenker, CEVA Logistics, GEFCO Group, DSV Panalpina, Geodis, C.H. Robinson, FedEx Corporation |
Regional scope |
Global |
Historical data |
2020 - 2021 |
Revenue Forecast in 2030 |
USD 90.86 billion |
Quantitative units |
Revenue in USD billion and CAGR from 2023 to 2030 |
Customization scope |
Up to 48 hours of customization free with every report. |
Pricing and purchase options |
Avail customized purchase options to meet your exact research needs. Explore purchase options |
b. The global fourth-party logistics (4PL) category size was valued at approximately USD 56.95 billion in 2022 and is estimated to witness a CAGR of 6.9% from 2023 to 2030.
b. The increasing growth in online shopping and the e-commerce sector, the rising need for efficient warehouse management systems, automated order fulfillment, inventory and returns management systems, and enhanced post-purchase and payment systems are driving the growth of this category.
b. According to the LCC/BCC sourcing analysis, North America is the ideal destination for sourcing fourth-party logistics (4PL) services.
b. The global 4PL category is fragmented, with numerous small and large players operating in different regions. Some of the key players are XPO Logistics, DHL Supply Chain, UPS Supply Chain Solutions, DB Schenker, CEVA Logistics, and FedEx Corporation.
b. Transportation, warehousing, and software cost form the largest cost components. Other key costs include packaging and inventory management.
b. Partnering with players that provide complete integration across the supply chain, opting for suppliers that provide automation of inbound, outbound, and reverse logistics, and choosing suppliers that offer enhanced transparency across the complete supply chain.
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Component wise cost break down for better negotiation for the client, highlights the key cost drivers in the market with future price fluctuation for different materials (e.g.: steel, aluminum, etc.) used in the production process
Offering cost transparency for different products / services procured by the client. A typical report involves 2-3 case scenarios helping clients to select the best suited engagement with the supplier
Determining and forecasting salaries for specific skill set labor to make decision on outsourcing vs in-house.
A typical newsletter study by capturing latest information for specific suppliers related to: M&As, technological innovations, expansion, litigations, bankruptcy etc.
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