The global menthol cigarette market size was valued at USD 80.0 billion in 2018 and is expected to expand at a CAGR of 3.1% from 2019 to 2025. The market growth is attributed to factors like fresh, clean, cooling, and anesthetic (painkilling) effect, the ability of menthol to reduce the harshness of smoke, and growing popularity among the younger generation. Moreover, menthol cigarette makes smoke smooth and easier to inhale by reducing the harshness of smoke, thereby making it more popular among women, the young generation, and beginner smokers.
The number of menthol cigarette smokers is increasing owing to the consumers who cannot tolerate irritation and harshness of non-menthol products and those who seek specific flavor and sensation associated with menthol flavor. The mild property of menthol cigarettes is gaining popularity among occasional smokers, the younger generation, and beginners. Consumers who are trying to quit cigarettes are more inclined towards the consumption of menthol cigarettes owing to less harshness and the less negative effect they feel while smoking. On the other side, established menthol smokers having strong sensory attributes are actively seeking higher menthol concentration levels as a remedy for burn, dryness, and throat irritation caused by smoking of non-menthol cigarettes.
Many young consumers and women are attracted to the smell and refreshing feel they get by smoking menthol cigarettes. The number of menthol cigarette smokers are constant whereas there is a decline in the smokers of non-menthol products, as menthol decreases the metabolism of nicotine and increases the amount of addictive substance in the body, making it more difficult to quit. Along with these factors, the positive association such as cooling sensation, sensory excitation, and minty taste makes it more difficult to quit.
However, FDA proposal regarding the ban on menthol cigarettes is expected to create hurdles for market growth in the forecast period. As a result, the illicit cigarette market is expected to fuel market growth in the forecast period. Alongside the ban on menthol cigarettes in regions like South America, governments across the globe are increasing taxes on cigarettes and introducing new taxation policies with the ultimate motto to reduce their consumption. These factors are expected to hamper the growth of the market in the forecast period.
By capsule, the market is segmented as a single capsule and double capsule. Single capsule accounted for the largest share of 88.8% in 2018. This type of capsule allows the consumer to vary the strength of flavor by bursting liquid ball inside the cigarette filter. This innovation in the industry has given consumers as an option as when to burst the capsule for the flavor. The segment growth is attributed to the fact that it allows the user to consume cigarettes with flavor or without flavor as per there convenience.
The double capsule is expected to register the fastest CAGR of 3.3% over the forecast period. Consumers are increasingly favoring this type as it comes in two flavors, thereby allowing consumers to experience two different flavors. Rapid growth in the demand is attributed to growing consumption among the younger generation and women. Moreover, established menthol cigarette smokers who smoke for taste and flavor are inclining more towards the consumption of double capsule products due to its long-lasting flavor.
By the end-user, the menthol cigarette market is segmented into male and female. Males accounted for the largest share of 57.3% in 2018. Among males, the younger generation holds the largest share in the overall menthol cigarette consumption. Among all high school students cigarette smokers, 54.5% were menthol cigarette smokers and among all middle school students, the share was 48.4%.
This phenomenon is attributed to the growing inclination of male consumers owing to the preferences for flavor and refreshing characteristics of menthol cigarettes. In the U.S., 89% of all African American cigarette smokers consume menthol cigarettes. Whereas, 26% of the total white smokers consume them.
The female segment is expected to expand at a CAGR of 2.9% over the forecast period. In regions like North America, Europe, and Central and South America, female accounts for a significant menthol cigarette market share. In Europe, females accounted for 57.5% share in 2018. Among all women, 40% of women prefer menthol cigarettes, whereas only 31% of males prefer these over others.
Asia Pacific accounted for the largest share of 64.2% in 2018. The region is estimated to witness the fastest growth over the forecast period. China alone accounted for approx. 50.0% of the APAC market in 2018 owing to rapid innovation in products and increasing disposable income and purchasing power, nullifying the negative impact of taxation. The number of product launches from the year 2016 to 2017 was close to 300 new products, accounting for 50% of the product launches from the year 2012 - 2017. In China, males accounted for 52.2% share of menthol cigarette consumption in 2018, whereas females accounted for 47.8% share.
Central and South America is the second-fastest-growing region with a CAGR of 3.2% owing to the growing popularity of single and double capsule products as consumers are more likely to perceive benefits such as smoothness and less harshness than other cigarettes. Female accounts for a larger share in menthol cigarette smoking over men in the region and is expected to witness faster growth than male.
Major market players include Philip Morris International Inc.; Imperial Brands plc; Korea Tobacco & Ginseng Corporation; Alfred Dunhill, Ltd.; R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Company; British American Tobacco; Commonwealth Brands; Liggett Group; Lorillard Tobacco; and Essentra plc. These companies are engaged in strategic measures such as new product development, product launch, and acquisitions, which are intended to boost the growth and expand business with new technologies and products.
Report Attribute |
Details |
Market size value in 2020 |
USD 85.48 billion |
Revenue forecast in 2025 |
USD 99.10 billion |
Growth Rate |
CAGR of 3.1% from 2019 to 2025 |
Base year for estimation |
2018 |
Historical data |
2015 - 2017 |
Forecast period |
2019 - 2025 |
Quantitative units |
Revenue in USD million/billion and CAGR from 2019 to 2025 |
Report coverage |
Revenue forecast, company ranking, competitive landscape, growth factors, and trends |
Segments covered |
Capsule, end user, region |
Regional scope |
North America; Europe; Asia Pacific; Central & South America; Middle East & Africa |
Country scope |
U.S.; Russia; Germany; Indonesia; China; Brazil; South Africa |
Key companies profiled |
Philip Morris International Inc.; Imperial Brands plc; Korea Tobacco & Ginseng Corporation; Alfred Dunhill, Ltd.; R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Company; British American Tobacco; Commonwealth Brands; Liggett Group; Lorillard Tobacco; Essentra plc |
Customization scope |
Free report customization (equivalent up to 8 analysts working days) with purchase. Addition or alteration to country; regional & segment scope. |
Pricing and purchase options |
Avail customized purchase options to meet your exact research needs. Explore purchase options |
This report forecasts revenue growth at the global, regional, and country levels and provides an analysis on the latest industry trends and opportunities in each of the sub-segments from 2015 to 2025. For the purpose of this study, Grand View Research has segmented the global menthol cigarette market report on the basis of the capsule, end-user, and region:
Capsule Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2015 - 2025)
Single Capsule
Double Capsule
End-User Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2015 - 2025)
Male
Female
Regional Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2015 - 2025)
North America
The U.S.
Europe
Russia
Germany
Asia Pacific
China
Indonesia
Central & South America
Brazil
Middle East & Africa (MEA)
South Africa
b. The global menthol cigarette market size was estimated at USD 82.75 billion in 2019 and is expected to reach USD 85.48 billion in 2020.
b. The global menthol cigarette market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 3.1% from 2019 to 2025 to reach USD 99.10 billion by 2025.
b. Asia Pacific dominated the menthol cigarette market with a share of 64.7% in 2019. This is attributed to rapid innovation in products, increasing disposable incomes and purchasing power of consumers in developing countries such as China and India.
b. Some key players operating in the menthol cigarette market include Philip Morris International Inc.; Imperial Brands plc; Korea Tobacco & Ginseng Corporation; Alfred Dunhill, Ltd.; R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Company; British American Tobacco; Commonwealth Brands; Liggett Group; Lorillard Tobacco; and Essentra plc.
b. Key factors that are driving the market growth include fresh flavor characteristics, increased ability of menthol to reduce the harshness of smoke, and growing popularity among younger generation.
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